The EU's Legal Actions Against the UK: Consequences and Implications of Brexit

When the English Tories decided to use the Brexit vote to leave the single market, they were essentially creating a border between the UK and the European Union. This decision had significant implications for Ireland, a member state of the EU and a part of the single market, leading to two main options going forward: a border in Ireland or a border between Ireland and Great Britain.

Ireland and the Border Dilemma

Ireland, as a member of the EU and the single market, faced a conundrum. Two choices were presented: a border within Ireland or a border between Ireland and Great Britain. The choice of a border in Ireland would have been a significant breach of the Good Friday Agreement, which had established a peaceful relationship between the two regions. Similarly, a border between Ireland and Great Britain would have undermined the relationship between the UK, the EU, and the US. This highlights the complex nature of the Brexit negotiations, particularly regarding Ireland.

English Nationalism and the British Union

It is important to note that Northern Ireland, like Scotland, did not vote for Brexit, let alone leaving the single market. The current tensions stem from English nationalism and the dominance of England within the British Union, where smaller countries do not have a veto. This resembles a situation where self-governing colonies are essentially powerless within a larger union, as opposed to the democratic framework of the European Union, where member states have equal standing.

The Legal Proceedings and Their Immediacy

The current legal procedures initiated by the EU against the UK are a small matter that may take years to resolve in the European Court. However, the more immediate threat to the UK is the rejection of the Brexit agreement by the European Parliament and the absence of any trade agreement from the United States. These developments suggest that Brexit is based on a delusional view of British power and importance.

Global Economic Implications

The UK's current economic strategy is fraught with challenges. While the UK claims to be the 6th largest economy in the world, it is actually just 2.24% of global GDP, with its currency having lost 22% of its value since the launch of the Euro. Moreover, EU exports to the UK account for 15% of EU exports, while UK exports to the EU make up 48% of UK exports. The EU economy is almost seven times larger than that of the UK, making it nearly impossible for the UK to replace EU trade with other countries, even if it wanted to.

The Reality of Trade and Economic Sanctions

The stockpiling of British exports in the EU in December was a last-ditch effort to find new suppliers, but these efforts are futile. The reality is that the UK is facing severe economic challenges, including a massive downgrade of its debt, spiraling lending costs, and a collapsing currency that may require IMF intervention to prevent a complete collapse.

Conclusion and Future Outlook

The current legal procedures against the UK are a meaningless formality, as the true consequences of Brexit are far more significant. On the 24th of December 2020, the UK self-imposed economic sanctions on itself, and the loss of its EU veto proved to be a geopolitical castration. The political upheaval that follows such a castration is unpredictable but will undoubtedly have far-reaching consequences. As the US Senate supports a resolution to prevent hard borders in Ireland, the UK faces a choice: back down or face severe economic repercussions.

It is crucial to recognize the long-term implications of Brexit, particularly the economic and political ramifications that will unfold in the coming years. The legal procedures against the UK are merely a symptom of a much larger, more complex issue that has yet to play out fully.